How does 2030 look? It's up to us
Updated: Jul 10
January 1, 2020. Canberra, Australia.
We wake to an eerie silence and a thick blanket of smoke covering our city. No birds chirping, no laughter out on the street from kids playing. We have had weeks of being blanketed in smoke already, but this was different. This level of smoke was so hazardous that it was off the charts. Visibility was only a couple of hundred metres. New Years’ Day park runs were cancelled. Everything was cancelled.
This was not the new year we were hoping to bring in. There was no celebrating. It was hard to express hope and joy and goals and dreams for the year ahead. We were thinking of friends and family directly impacted by the fires. Of a lost summer of camping at the coast. Of lives and homes lost, estimates of over one billion mammals, birds and reptiles affected, entire landscapes.… gone. Of the sick feeling in the pits of our stomachs.
This was climate change. This is climate change.
The unprecedented summer of 2020
Unprecedented is a word we have seen a lot in the media reports in the last couple of months. Unprecedented bushfires across nearly every state and territory, causing unprecedented costs and damage, both economic and social. Unprecedented drought wreaking havoc with our agricultural industry and water supplies. Canberra had an unprecedented hailstorm, destroying years of the CSIRO’s research. Unprecedented heat and dryness, with 2018 and 2019 being Australia’s hottest and driest years on record. The bushfires led to a staggering estimated one billion animals lost, with immediate concerns for a number of iconic species, including the koala, quokka and platypus.
We knew about this
As someone who has worked in the environmental sector my whole career and been convinced about the evidence of climate change ever since I learned about it at university in the early 2000s, I have felt deep anger this summer. Anger that we have known for decades about climate change and what the impacts would be, and that action has not been taken.
Many will have seen the excerpt from the Garnaut Climate Change Review (2008) in the media in recent weeks.
I vividly remember reading it at the time.
It stated that:
“fire seasons will start earlier, end slightly later, and generally be more intense. This effect increases over time, but should be directly observable by 2020”.
At the time, 2020 seemed so far away. And yet, here we are, 2020 and the effects are indeed clearly observable. And we are only halfway through summer.
What will it take?
A few years ago I came to the conclusion that it would take climate change directly impacting our communities for real change to occur. We couldn’t get a much clearer signal about the impact of climate change on Australia than we are experiencing this summer.
So, now that impacts have been directly felt, will it lead to that much needed change in policy and action – from government, business and our community?
I’m not sure. But it can and it should. We have the tools at our disposal to change the trajectory – one that is tracking far above the Paris Agreement of 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels. A new UN report indicates planned emissions of greenhouse gases to 2030 are 53% higher than what is needed to limit warming to 2 degrees. Indeed, with our current policies in place we are tracking at about 3.0 degrees Celsius warming (though this varies depending on the modelling and analysis you read).
These are sobering statistics, knowing what we know about the impacts of warming of more than 1.5 degrees. The UN has recognised climate change as the “defining issue of our time”, and has called the crisis “the greatest challenge to sustainable development”. The CEOs of the world’s biggest companies name climate change as the key global risk for business (and the world).
Is there hope?
So, in 2020, what can we do? How do we look to 2030 and have hope? What can businesses and communities do? Is there hope for our children?
As a pragmatic optimist, I say yes and other commentators agree. But it involves more than being angry. More than being disappointed. More than hoping for policies (or politicians) to change. It has to do with action. Real action, both our own, our communities’ and our businesses. It is also likely to need new technologies.
What can we do?
Some practical things that we can do:
Think about your energy use. Conserve energy whenever possible. Switch appliances off when not in use. Turn off lights. Use energy-efficient lightbulbs and appliances.
Choose renewable energy. Install solar panels or join a renewable energy co-op.
Invest in renewable energy. Think about where your superannuation funds are allocated.
Eat and source local foods. Waste less food. Even better, grow your own at home or at your workplace.
Recycle, reuse and repurpose. Manufacturing and production contribute to our emissions. With the rise of technology this has become even easier with many apps helping us tap into the circular economy.
Rethink your commute. Use public transport. Carpool. Use an electric vehicle. Ride your bike. Walk or run to work.
Reward your customers for making sustainable choices. Consider a discount if they bring their own cup or bags.
Become a certified B Corporation. Or buy from them.
These are just some ideas of how we can live more sustainably and make better choices.
There will be others, and these suggestions do not negate the need for broader action and investment in new technologies if we are to aim towards limiting global warming to 2 degrees.
Together we can act and together we can change the trajectory. Let’s work together on climate action and take Australia forward for coherent action and optimism towards 2030.
If there is any way I can help you or your business make changes or engage with the community around these, please do not hesitate to reach out to me via this website.